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Russian Intervention in Syria


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In short of the Russian sources above cited, and also The Aviationist and Offiziere.ch, Russian original forces (circa 30 September 2015) in Latakia/Hmejmim/Bassel Al-Assad International Airport:

4xSu-30SM

6xSu-34

8xSu-24M

4xSu-24M2

10xSu-25SM

2xSu-25UM

1xIl-20M

12xMi-24P

5xMi-8ATMSh

4xKa-27PL

?xOrlan-10 UAV

?xPchela-1T

?xGranat-3 UAV

 

Russian forces in my initial Latakia Bastion 2015 scenario:

12xSu-27SM3

12xSu-30SM

12xSu-34

12xSu-24M2

12xSu-25SM

1xIl-20M

12xMi-24P

5xMi-8ATMSh

4xKa-27PL

12xHermes 450 represents Orlan-10 UAV

12xRQ-2A Pioneer represents Pchela-1T and Granat-3 UAV

 

Russian later forces (circa 20 November 2015):

4 or 6xSu-27SM3 (Probably these were added circa 17 November 2015, and not the other 4xSu-24 more mentioned later)

4xSu-30SM

12xSu-34 (of them 8 were added circa 17 November 2015)

Some 30xSu-24M/M2 (Of them 4 were added circa 17 November 2015)

10xSu-25SM

2xSu-25UM

1xIl-20M

1xIl-22M?

12xMi-24P

4xMi-8ATMSh

4xKa-27PL

?xOrlan-10 UAV

?xPchela-1T

?xGranat-3 UAV

 

Forces operating from mainland Russia in the 17 November 2015 attack:

5xTu-160

6xTu-95MS

14xTu-22M3

8xSu-34 (these planes were probably transferred to Latakia the same day, as mentioned above)

6xSu-27SM3(these planes were probably transferred to Latakia the same day, as mentioned above)

 

In November 20, 2015, Minister of Defence of the Russian Federation General of the Army Sergey Shoigu reported that Aviation Group in Latakia has increased twice and has now 69 planes.

Also, some days early were rumours of S-400 or at least his radars deployed in Latakia.

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Been so many developments on this front that a guy would have to post updates every few minutes.

 

Suffice to say, things have been "interesting".

 

S-400 in Syria! I am doubtful (hopeful?) that we will see a Grave Stone radar in full operation, but the SIGINT would be glorious. ;)

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  • 2 weeks later...

New attack with Tu-22M3 and Kalibr land-attack cruises missiles to targets in Syria 8 December 2015.

Something of ridiculous:

- The Tu-22M3 based in Mozdok, Northern Ossetia (a reactivated Long Range Aviation base) are keeping in attacks with dumb iron bombs. Their air-to-surface missiles are probably too old (their rocket engines) to be used, and they are uncapable of use more modern smart bombs (and probably in few weeks Russia will exhaust his stocks of smart bombs and will quit Syria).

- The Kilo-class Project 06363 Rostov-on-Don (one of the three only active submarines in service in the Black Sea fleet) launched her Kalibr missiles from surface, perhaps incapable to fire them submerged.

http://theaviationist.com/2015/12/08/kalibr-from-subs-against-syria/

http://russianships.info/eng/today/(see Black Sea Fleet)

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The Kilo-class Project 06363 Rostov-on-Don (one of the three only active submarines in service in the Black Sea fleet) launched her Kalibr missiles from surface, perhaps incapable to fire them submerged.

The video certainly shows the Rostov-on-Don on the surface initially, but then from a distance it is difficult to tell. But I think you can see the shadow of upper hull and sail through the smoke. Edit: After watching it several times, I am not so sure.

 

The missiles are most definitely emerging from submerged torpedo tubes (of course) - the third launch is clearest - and you can see the splash of the protective capsule falling into the sea almost immediately after booster ignition.

 

The missiles appear to have varied launch points so it appears that she is at least underway during the launch.

 

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New attack with Tu-22M3 and Kalibr land-attack cruises missiles to targets in Syria 8 December 2015.

Something of ridiculous:

- The Tu-22M3 based in Mozdok, Northern Ossetia (a reactivated Long Range Aviation base) are keeping in attacks with dumb iron bombs. Their air-to-surface missiles are probably too old (their rocket engines) to be used, and they are uncapable of use more modern smart bombs (and probably in few weeks Russia will exhaust his stocks of smart bombs and will quit Syria).

The accuracy of those OFAB-250-270 fragmentation bombs certainly leaves something to be desired.

 

I am a little surprised that the Russians continue to put up videos that show their inaccuracy so blatantly.

 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Probably up to 6xSu-35S deployed in Latakia from late January 2016 (reported bort numbers 01 and 02): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JcRG7MFslas&index=1&list=LLY2OGGi7xhwHQ2CmNo9O-Pg

 

Heard this bit of news over the weekend. I think it is fairly obviously a marketing mission but it will be interesting to see what armament they deploy with.

 

Russian supermaneuverable Su-35 Flankers have started flying over Syria

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