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Clock ticking for Kim?

Featured Replies

From Jane's

 

Clock ticking for Kim's Korea

By Reuben F Johnson

24 January 2008

 

Kim Jong-Il's regime could collapse within six months, bringing chaos to North Korea, observers and intelligence sources in Asia have told Jane's.

 

A joint United States report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the US Institute for Peace has also revealed that China has "contingency plans" in the event of North Korea's implosion. The report, entitled 'Keeping an Eye on an Unruly Neighbor', said that China was prepared to "take the initiative" and had a military strategy for securing North Korea's "loose nukes" should Kim Jong-Il's rule fail.

 

Any apocalyptic scenario has to be taken with a grain of salt; in 1997 the Central Intelligence Agency predicted the collapse of North Korea within five years. However, there are reasons for the heightened levels of concern; in particular, the recent actions of Kim Jong-Il and other North Korean officials are being interpreted as signs that the regime is nearing its end.

 

Tellingly, the 'Dear Leader' is in the process of moving financial resources to ensure that his assets are portable should he have to go into exile, according to some sources.

 

The centrally controlled economy has also now ceased to function and the food distribution system is near breaking point. With loyalty to the regime at an all-time low, another sign of trouble is the regime's diminishing ability to prevent people from leaving the country.

This couldn't happen soon enough.....I hope we catch him....

 

Later

D

This guy reminds me of when I went to Intel Collection school in San Diego back in the late '70s. They were discussing the biographical dossiers kept on various world leaders that were available. On the subject of Idi Amin, it was stated that the only thing we really knew about him was that he was a total lunatic and there was no telling what the hell he might do at any given time. Kim strikes me somewhat the same.

 

Buddha

This guy reminds me of when I went to Intel Collection school in San Diego back in the late '70s. They were discussing the biographical dossiers kept on various world leaders that were available. On the subject of Idi Amin, it was stated that the only thing we really knew about him was that he was a total lunatic and there was no telling what the hell he might do at any given time. Kim strikes me somewhat the same.

 

Buddha

 

And what's bad about that is that any normal person would come to the same conclusion just by watching the news. I don't think anyone who's up to date with modern world affiars doubts there is something 'not right' about him.

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