Forgotten Waters: Minding the GIUK Gap

Forgotten Waters: Minding the GIUK Gap (CNAS)

There is excellent scenario fodder here (even if well trodden), either for HCE or even a PBEM / MBX type exercise:

In Move 1, a NATO maritime exercise was interrupted by asymmetric Russian meddling. Using enhanced submarine and electronic warfare technology, Russia slipped undetected into the exercise and disrupted navigation and communications equipment of the NATO participants. The move was further complicated by a collision between a Russian submarine and a NATO vessel.

Move 2 presented the participants with two events that at first seemed unrelated. The first was a disinformation campaign that shifted the anticipated outcome of a national election in Iceland. As a result, the new prime minister arrived in office with a pledge to end the NATO air policing campaign over her country and to end all future NATO deployments to and through Iceland. Then, as participants were grappling with this scenario, they were told that an undersea cable between Iceland and Canada had been cut, creating a significant telecommunications disruption.

In Move 3, as fighting inside Ukraine intensified, the Alliance began to deploy, via air and sea, additional forces into Central and Eastern Europe. As U.S. forces were moving across the Atlantic toward Europe, a Russian submarine sank a U.S. military transport ship 100 miles southwest of the English Channel; it had been en route from the port of New Orleans to Gdansk, Poland.