Over the years, I've found a couple of books and articles like Sources of Conflict in the 21st Century that outline various scenarios for future conflicts (e.g., a war between Russia and the Ukraine).

 

There are very useful, as one might imagine, for creating Harpoon scenarios. I want to read more of them! I suspect there are a lot of these floating around, but I've only found a few of them. Who publishes them? Where can I find them? Are they available online? I imagine various countries' defense departments wrote up a bunch of them--planning war games, etc.--were they ever made available to the public? I'm interested both in recent ones and historical ones (e.g., ones written in the 1980s, etc.)

 

Thanks in advance.

 

Mark

Over the years, I've found a couple of books and articles like Sources of Conflict in the 21st Century that outline various scenarios for future conflicts (e.g., a war between Russia and the Ukraine). There are very useful, as one might imagine, for creating Harpoon scenarios. I want to read more of them! I suspect there are a lot of these floating around, but I've only found a few of them. Who publishes them? Where can I find them? Are they available online? I imagine various countries' defense departments wrote up a bunch of them--planning war games, etc.--were they ever made available to the public? I'm interested both in recent ones and historical ones (e.g., ones written in the 1980s, etc.)

Thanks in advance.

Mark

 

Sources of Conflict was a publication of the RAND Corporation.

 

RAND and similar policy/research organization regularly produce articles and papers like this. A lot of the material is readily searchable online.

Over the years, I've found a couple of books and articles like Sources of Conflict in the 21st Century that outline various scenarios for future conflicts (e.g., a war between Russia and the Ukraine). There are very useful, as one might imagine, for creating Harpoon scenarios. I want to read more of them! I suspect there are a lot of these floating around, but I've only found a few of them. Who publishes them? Where can I find them? Are they available online? I imagine various countries' defense departments wrote up a bunch of them--planning war games, etc.--were they ever made available to the public? I'm interested both in recent ones and historical ones (e.g., ones written in the 1980s, etc.)

Thanks in advance.

Mark

 

Sources of Conflict was a publication of the RAND Corporation.

 

RAND and similar policy/research organization regularly produce articles and papers like this. A lot of the material is readily searchable online.

 

Oh, yes, I know about the Rand corporation. I've added it to one of my web indices...

 

http://paws.kettering.edu/~mgellis/GMI_Pg2.htm

 

I was hoping to find out about other similar organizations and where they are located (URLs, etc.). Among other things, I hoping there might be a) an index of published scenarios (I know, that would make things too easy, wouldn't it?) and the location of any declassified ones (I'm assuming they would have been classified initially, although maybe I'm wrong here) produced by various defense agencies. For example, I imagine the Air Force has put together all kinds of "Well, what if we had to blow up Nigeria next week? How would we go about it?" studies...have any of those been released to the public? I imagine they'd be the older ones, but that's okay...a declassified 1985 study on how to blow up Nigeria would be pretty useless to enemy agents today, but it would be priceless to a historian...or a Harpoon scenario designer.

Oh, yes, I know about the Rand corporation.

 

I expected you did, since you named their publication. But others might not.

 

I was hoping to find out about other similar organizations and where they are located (URLs, etc.).

 

Publications from think tanks (like RAND) would be the first place I would look.

 

Stratfor, for example, is another excellent source of material.

Oh, yes, I know about the Rand corporation.

 

I expected you did, since you named their publication. But others might not.

 

I was hoping to find out about other similar organizations and where they are located (URLs, etc.).

 

Publications from think tanks (like RAND) would be the first place I would look.

 

Stratfor, for example, is another excellent source of material.

 

Yes, I think so, too...I've added it also to my list of sites.

 

I wonder if any historical ones are available online...things that were written up in the 1970s, anticipating trouble spots in the 1980s, etc. Any other sources anyone else can recommend?