October 13, 201214 yr I'm playing around with scenario ideas and had some questions about one of them. In 1980, the Soviet Union decided to not invade Poland, despite the Solidarity movement's challenges to Soviet power. It seems an invasion was planned, but was postponed... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_reaction_to_the_Polish_crisis_of_1980%E2%80%931981 http://www.columbia.edu/cu/ece/research/intermarium/vol2no1/jaruzels.pdf http://wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/ACFB35.PDF ...but what if the invasion had gone ahead? On December 8, 1980, Soviet, Czech, and East German forces invade Poland. President Carter refuses to use a pre-emptive nuclear strike, and does not believe a counter-invasion of Poland would succeed. But something needs to be done. What might he do? And how would the Soviets have reacted? Here is one possibility...please let me know what you think! WAR PLAN HYDRA This consists primarily of a war on Soviet shipping and on vessels headed for Soviet ports. Quite simply, War Plan Hydra does not and never will put a single NATO trooper or NATO bomb on Soviet soil, but its goal is to wreck havoc on the Soviet economy by denying them trade, crippling their fishing fleet, sinking their navy, etc. The Soviets will be left to cement their control of Poland, but it will be a very expensive victory. It is expected that Soviet naval forces would try to counter NATO attacks, but Carter is gambling that the Soviets will not launch a full scale nuclear war as long as Soviet territory is untouched. He is sending extra troops to Western Europe, though, just to make it clear that he is willing to fight there, too, if he has to. So...what do you think? Is this a plausible war scenario? Any other thoughts, observations, suggestions, etc.? Thanks!
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