broncepulido Posted October 15, 2015 Report Posted October 15, 2015 File Name: Latakia Bastion advanced base, October 2015. Historical Scenario. File Submitter: broncepulido File Submitted: 15 Oct 2015 File Category: Middle East Latakia Bastion advanced base, October 2015. Historical Scenario.A Harpoon Commander's Edition scenario for The Middle East Battleset and the HCDB-150928 standard 1980-2015 Platform Database. This scenario is designed with advanced Scenario Editor and to be run with HCE 2015.008+ or later.This scenario is designed to be played from the Blue/Israel side or from the Red/Russian side. To avoid a few spoilers you should play a few times first the Blue side, and only later play the Red side.Image: Sukhoi Su-34 Fullback strike fighter, in Russian service from 21 March 2014. Photo taked by Dmitry Terekhov in 30 August 2015 at MAKS 2015, retrieved from Wikipedia Commons.After the full of naval, military and security incidents year of 2014 and the not less eventful first eight months of 2015, the World was beginning the so-called Second Cold War. Mostly as result of President of Russia Vladimir Putin (ex-KGB lieutenant colonel) actions, provoking in succession the Crimea, Ukraine, Donetsk, Baltic States, October 2014 Swedish submarine incursion, G-20 Brisbane meeting naval crisis, November 2014 Faslane submarine incident, frigate Yaroslav Mudryy February "Channel Dash", April 2015 Finnish submarine incursion (for many observers causing the pre-mobilization of Finland reserve forces), and with constant and multiple overflies with military warplanes entangled in potential incidents with commercial flights in Europe. That without counting in other unrelated naval incidents, just as the Iranian seizure of the Maersk Tigris in 28 April 2015 (and neither counting in landlocked actions, as the ISIS operations in Middle East).At last at the start of September 2015, and in face of the mild Western answer at his previous action (but aside constant and intensive military drills worldwide) Vladimir Putin decides to higher his stakes, His last decision surprised the World and was centred in a new theatre of operations for Russia: That was Syria and his four-year long civil unrest and war.With the alibi of destroy the Islamists of Islamic State/Daesh, Putin start to place considerable warplane assets in Bassel Al-Assad International Airport (a simple and small base now called Khmeimim AB) and to fortify it. The base is near Latakia and Tartus, both Syrian Mediterranean ports of call with a discrete previous Russian military presence, limited mostly to intelligence and support dedicated ships. But actually the alibi was only aimed to neutralize and destroy with ground attacks not the Islamic State/Daesh forces, but other Syrian rebel forces, not so Islamist, menacing Russian ally Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and the own Russian global strategic position.But that's public excuses and covert actions could be a calculus error and more dangerous for Putin ambitions than he expects, as the region politics and power balances are all less easy. Probably at long run a decision more erroneous than the limited US support to Afghanistan Mujahideen in the 1980s, and one feeding growing concern in Israel ...Note: this scenario was initially inspired in current fake claims posted in dubious Internet sites about the Israeli fighters fleeing as consequence of the presence of Russian fighters.Enrique Mas, October 15, 2015. Click here to download this file Quote
broncepulido Posted October 15, 2015 Author Report Posted October 15, 2015 Some sources: Original Russian OOB in Latakia: http://www.offiziere.ch/?p=23403 Quote
CV32 Posted October 16, 2015 Report Posted October 16, 2015 Thanks for this, Enrique. I have a couple of my own scenarios in the works regarding the Russia-Syria intervention but I don't know when I will get time to finish them. Please post on Matrix as well as if you haven't already. 1 Quote
broncepulido Posted October 16, 2015 Author Report Posted October 16, 2015 Thanks Brad, just I forget post it in Matrix. Quote
CV32 Posted October 17, 2015 Report Posted October 17, 2015 Achieved Min Vic at 11:49 to go. Total Vic followed at 7:33 to go. Lost 2x aircraft. 1 Quote
broncepulido Posted October 17, 2015 Author Report Posted October 17, 2015 Now try the Russian side ... Quote
CV32 Posted October 19, 2015 Report Posted October 19, 2015 Now try the Russian side ... Achieved min vic at 11:29 to go, albeit with heavier losses. Total vic is proving more elusive. I will try and put together a more substantive AAR in due course. 1 Quote
CV32 Posted October 20, 2015 Report Posted October 20, 2015 Spoilers apply! * * * * After Action Report - Latakia Bastion Playing as the Russian side, I had two defensive priorities in mind - (1) to safeguard the Moskva group and (2) to protect the Russian contingent at Latakia. Offensively, I knew I would be facing some of the IDF's premier aircraft (although the F-16I Soufa was missing from the OOB, thankfully?) and precision guided munitions, that the Israeli air defences were stiff, and there would be likely be submarines. My immediate priority was to blind Israeli AEW&C and to neutralize their SAM network. There I would use the Syrian Air Force as a distraction force, and the Russian Air Force contingent as my strike force, concentrating firstly on SEAD/DEAD and thereafter on precision strike. Most Syrian radars on the frontier were shut down to avoid death by HARM, and I used SyAAF MiGs as a means of attracting and soaking up attention from IDF F-15s and F-16s. RuAF Su-30SM Flankers would conduct 'sweep and escort' behind this distracting wall. With the first wave of IDF air attacks neutralized or defanged, my own SEAD efforts launched a massive strike against Israeli defences around Haifa and Ramat David. All of my Su-24 and Su-34 assets were armed for the effort. At sea, the Moskva group was directed north firstly, to avoid being exposed to attack. Later, when I was satisfied that the immediate danger had passed, I would bring her south again. Having no submarine of my own in the area, I was wary of stumbling into a spread of torpedoes. The strategy worked very well. Any attempt at Israeli air attack was blunted, and losses were minimal in the air battle. I had two areas of difficulty dealing with the Israelis. First, although I was never able to find the offending submarine, a sub launched cruise missile attack was launched at Bassel Al-Assad. A single Popeye Turbo penetrated and struck the airfield, causing only minor damage but destroying some half dozen Russian aircraft on the ground. A Syrian fast attack craft also fell victim to a sub launched Harpoon. Second, there was very nearly a repeat of the 1973 battle of Latakia. Israeli missile craft were sweeping north and I had no ASuW assets immediately at hand to deal with them, save my own Syrian fast attack craft. Sure, there were Russian aircraft capable of dealing with them, but they were deeply occupied with hammering enemy airfields in northern Israel. Fortunately, having air superiority in the area and good situational awareness allowed me to locate and dispatch the Israeli vessels without too much damage. Only the Russian spy ship was lost. With Haifa and Ramat David severely damaged, I allowed the SyAAF to join the fray to finish them off. A huge political coup for the Assad regime and a humiliating defeat for Israel. The Moskva group also came south again, launching its antiship missile load against the two Eilat class warships and destroying them handily. I have continued the advance southward, destroying Israeli bases in turn (probably not the best idea in reality, as provoking an Israeli nuclear response would not be wise) but with about 2:30 to go, major victory has eluded me thus far. Update: Destroyed two more bases, all surface ships and all aircraft, but still no major victory. I am guessing it is tied to the submarine but I haven't peeked into the SE to find out. Quote
broncepulido Posted October 20, 2015 Author Report Posted October 20, 2015 Good strategy and analysis, thanks Brad! Spoilers alert!!!!: About: Offensively, I knew I would be facing some of the IDF's premier aircraft (although the F-16I Soufa was missing from the OOB, thankfully?) and precision guided munitions, that the Israeli air defences were stiff, and there would be likely be submarines. one of the scenario "excuses" is (Israeli/Blue side orders): Our only politically acceptable possibility is destroy instantly and fast the Russian forces based in the Bassel Al-Assad International Airport, in a few hours interval and covering it as a local command rogue decision. As consequence, our offensive forces are limited to those in the Ramat David Airbase ( Wing 1, with 109 "Valley" Squadron equipped with F-16D, 110 "Knights of North Squadron" Squadron with F-16C, 117 "First Jet" Squadron with F-16C, and 193 "Defenders of the West" Squadron with AS565 Panther), with some limited and discrete support of F-15 for air supremacy (Tel Nof Airbase, elements of 106 "Spearhead" Squadron equipped with F-15B/C/D and of 133 "Knight of the Twin Tail" Squadron with F-15A/B/D), the ever vigilant Israel strategic defence forces and some Israeli Navy support. as consequence, the Israeli side only can use more or less a 25% of the Israeli Air Force inventory, excluding F-15I and F-16I, and limited to the F-16C/D based at Ramat David, and some few F-15 for air cover. If the Israeli Air Force could use all their aircraft the Russian/Red side should be very few playable! Quote
CV32 Posted October 20, 2015 Report Posted October 20, 2015 Good strategy and analysis, thanks Brad! Spoilers alert!!!!: About: Offensively, I knew I would be facing some of the IDF's premier aircraft (although the F-16I Soufa was missing from the OOB, thankfully?) and precision guided munitions, that the Israeli air defences were stiff, and there would be likely be submarines. one of the scenario "excuses" is (Israeli/Blue side orders): Our only politically acceptable possibility is destroy instantly and fast the Russian forces based in the Bassel Al-Assad International Airport, in a few hours interval and covering it as a local command rogue decision. As consequence, our offensive forces are limited to those in the Ramat David Airbase ( Wing 1, with 109 "Valley" Squadron equipped with F-16D, 110 "Knights of North Squadron" Squadron with F-16C, 117 "First Jet" Squadron with F-16C, and 193 "Defenders of the West" Squadron with AS565 Panther), with some limited and discrete support of F-15 for air supremacy (Tel Nof Airbase, elements of 106 "Spearhead" Squadron equipped with F-15B/C/D and of 133 "Knight of the Twin Tail" Squadron with F-15A/B/D), the ever vigilant Israel strategic defence forces and some Israeli Navy support. as consequence, the Israeli side only can use more or less a 25% of the Israeli Air Force inventory, excluding F-15I and F-16I, and limited to the F-16C/D based at Ramat David, and some few F-15 for air cover. If the Israeli Air Force could use all their aircraft the Russian/Red side should be very few playable! Yes, I was aware of the reasoning behind it, and commenting on how the Russians might be thankful for it. 1 Quote
broncepulido Posted November 21, 2015 Author Report Posted November 21, 2015 21 November 2015: Spoiler alert, updating the Russian Forces in Latakia (but I did not modifiy the scenario), from many sources commented here http://harpgamer.com/harpforum/index.php?/topic/25332-russian-intervention-in-syria/page-2 : In short of the Russian sources above cited, and also The Aviationist and Offiziere.ch, Russian original forces (circa 30 September 2015) in Latakia/Hmejmim/Bassel Al-Assad International Airport: 4xSu-30SM 6xSu-34 8xSu-24M 4xSu-24M2 10xSu-25SM 2xSu-25UM 1xIl-20M 12xMi-24P 5xMi-8ATMSh 4xKa-27PL ?xOrlan-10 UAV ?xPchela-1T ?xGranat-3 UAV Russian forces in my initial Latakia Bastion 2015 scenario: 12xSu-27SM3 12xSu-30SM 12xSu-34 12xSu-24M2 12xSu-25SM 1xIl-20M 12xMi-24P 5xMi-8ATMSh 4xKa-27PL 12xHermes 450 represents Orlan-10 UAV 12xRQ-2A Pioneer represents Pchela-1T and Granat-3 UAV Russian later forces (circa 20 November 2015): 4 or 6xSu-27SM3 (Probably these were added circa 17 November 2015, and not the other 4xSu-24 more mentioned later) 4xSu-30SM 12xSu-34 (of them 8 were added circa 17 November 2015) Some 30xSu-24M/M2 (Of them 4 were added circa 17 November 2015) 10xSu-25SM 2xSu-25UM 1xIl-20M 1xIl-22M? 12xMi-24P 4xMi-8ATMSh 4xKa-27PL ?xOrlan-10 UAV ?xPchela-1T ?xGranat-3 UAV Forces operating from mainland Russia in the 17 November 2015 attack: 5xTu-160 6xTu-95MS 14xTu-22M3 8xSu-34 (these planes were probably transferred to Latakia the same day, as mentioned above) 6xSu-27SM3(these planes were probably transferred to Latakia the same day, as mentioned above) In November 20, 2015, Minister of Defence of the Russian Federation General of the Army Sergey Shoigu reported that Aviation Group in Latakia has increased twice and has now 69 planes. Also, some days early were rumours of S-400 or at least his radars deployed in Latakia. Quote
CV32 Posted November 23, 2015 Report Posted November 23, 2015 A number of Mi-24 and Mi-8 helicopters have also been forward deployed to airfields deeper in Syria, such as Tiyas and Shayrat, ostensibly in support of Russian ground forces also deployed there. 1 Quote
broncepulido Posted November 28, 2015 Author Report Posted November 28, 2015 Modifications 28 November 2015: SPOILER ALERT Scenario with light modifications: - SA-21/S-400 Triumph replaces SA-10e. S-400 were actually deployed in Latakia from 26 November 2015, after the shoot-down by the Turkish F-16 with AIM-120 of a Russian Su-24 in 24 November 2015. - Su-24M2 number increased to 30, as estimated current levels. - Mi-24V replaced by Mi-24P (they should be probably Mi-24PN). - Added 1xIl-22M. - Other very minor modifications. Quote
broncepulido Posted December 7, 2015 Author Report Posted December 7, 2015 Modifications 7 December 2015: SPOILER ALERT Scenario updated to reflect an hypotetical Russian Long Range Aviation attack on Israel, just as the realized on 17 November 2015. That`s the transliteration of the modified Russian/Red orders (only text modified) for better understanding and weird historical detail (Do you know previously the Volga German Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic 1918-1941? his historical capital city is the current times Engels, famous by his Long Range Aviation Base!): Note: If equipped with SS-N-30/Klub/Kalibr land-attack cruise missile, the Kilo subs and the Caspian Sea Flotilla are programmed to attack Ramat David with that type of missile. In the updated scenario modification of 7 December 2015 is added a single Russian Long Range Aviation cruise missile attacks with the same estimated force composition of the historical attacks of 17 November 2015, the Red/Russian player is compelled to use the Tu-95MS-16, Tu-160 and Tu-160M only a single time in a single attack of each plane, for sake of historicity and probably because the Russian want to keep a strategic reserve of conventional cruise missiles, and because probably they don't get many weapons of this type. Is also added the historic Iranian fighters' escorts of the bomber-launched cruise missile attacks of 17 November 2015, but mostly for historicity and symbolic valour than for gameplay effects. The Tu-22M3 flying from Mozdov (Southern Ossetia) and their attack with FAB-250 dumb bombs is not represented, to avoid a computer-controlled Russian/Red player doing successive attacks with air-to-surface missiles. The strategic Russian Long Range Aviation bases of Mozdov (North Ossetia-Alania), Engels (Russia, ancient capital city of the Volga German Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic with the name of Pokrovsk, 1918-1941) and Olenegorsk (Murmansk Oblast) are moved on the map to a similar distance of Ramat David as in the real world. Main source, between many others: http://theaviationist.com/2015/11/21/infographic-russian-strategic-bombers-syria/ Quote
broncepulido Posted December 23, 2015 Author Report Posted December 23, 2015 New force inventory (mid-December 2015) as The Aviationist: http://theaviationist.com/2015/12/22/everyday-life-at-latakia-airbase-photos/ Russian later forces (circa 20 November 2015): 16xSu-30SM (the Su-27SM3 probably not deployed or not more deployed). 12xSu-34 (of them 8 were added circa 17 November 2015) Some 30xSu-24M/M2 (Of them 4 were added circa 17 November 2015) 10xSu-25SM 2xSu-25UM 1/2?xIl-20M 1xIl-22M? 12xMi-24P 4/3?xMi-8ATMSh (with Rychag-AV active jammer). 4xKa-27PL ?xOrlan-10 UAV ?xPchela-1T ?xGranat-3 UAV Quote
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