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Air attack on bridge


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#1 kcdusk

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Posted 14 April 2011 - 04:04 AM

Situation
Libya. Present day.
A French Jaguar has been tasked with destroying a bridge. In game terms, the bridge is a medium sized target with 100dp. The Jaguar is armed with 5 x EU3 450kg free fall bombs and has a ballistic bombsite. Each 450kg bomb inflicts 41points of damage. A single hit could potentially make the bridge unusable, 2 hits would almost guarantee making the bridge unusable and had a good chance of destroying it. 3+ hits would destroy the bridge.

Pre-flight planning
A horizontal bomb run is safer than a dive bomb attack. However during the pre-flight planning phase it was discovered that a horizontal bomb run yielded just a 6% chance of having a single bomb hit the bridge. This was deemed too low a probability of not taking out the bridge, so planning moved to a dive bomb set.

A dive bomb plan was worked out with the following probabilities
Low dive bomb run 85% for 1 hit, 57% for 2 hits, 24% for 3 hits, 5% for 4 hits and 1% chance of 5 hits..
Medium dive bomb run 67% for 1 hit, 27% for 2 hits, 6% for 3 hits and 1% for 4 hits.

It was agreed a low dive bomb pass was required to provide the best chance of success, given 2 hits were seen as the minimum necessary. A low dive bombing run would place the aircraft in some danger if the bridge was defended. Current intelligence suggested no fixed defences were near the bridge.

Outcome
The single Jaguar approached the target and at 5.0nm visually identified the bridge. Closing further on the target there was no AA detected. Approaching release point a "gun truck" was noticed on the bridge. Committed too far, the Jaguar completed its bomb run.

5 x 450kt free fall bombs were released, resulting in two hits against the bridge. Peeling away, looking out the rear of his canopy the pilot noted the bridge was still standing, though likely unusable except for foot traffic. Tracers arced up ... of the 30mm type ... eventually finding him. Shredded wing. Crashing glass. Blasting wind as he ejects ...

#2 CV32

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Posted 14 April 2011 - 07:22 PM

I like the comparison of bombing profiles. Interesting stuff! :)

#3 pmaidhof

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Posted 14 April 2011 - 09:26 PM

Too bad for the pilot having to eject during his egress KC. Will you game out the "Tactical Recovery of Aircraft and Personnel" (TRAP)?

#4 kcdusk

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Posted 17 April 2011 - 03:43 AM

Working out the GCS for a pilot armed with a pistal now, to game out the TRAP pmaidof.

#5 broncepulido

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Posted 17 April 2011 - 03:56 AM

5 x 450kt free fall bombs were released, resulting in two hits against the bridge. Peeling away, looking out the rear of his canopy the pilot noted the bridge was still standing, though likely unusable except for foot traffic. Tracers arced up ... of the 30mm type ... eventually finding him. Shredded wing. Crashing glass. Blasting wind as he ejects ...

Attacking with big nukes is so easy ...... ;)
Good report, thanks (btw, the French Jaguars were retired on 2005).

#6 pmaidhof

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Posted 17 April 2011 - 09:24 PM

KC,

See TRAP using MBT for an old take on gaming a TRAP.

#7 Silver_Dragon

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Posted 06 May 2011 - 11:15 AM

--------------- for erase

#8 Silver_Dragon

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Posted 06 May 2011 - 11:22 AM

Working out the GCS for a pilot armed with a pistal now, to game out the TRAP pmaidof.


if I'm wrong I think is 0,00003 with a M9 beretta




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